MLB DFS Projections DraftKings & FanDuel Lineup Optimizer Values Today
We have a small 6 game slate to start the week but the rain could make it a 5 or 4 game slate so be sure to follow the weather news and try to use some guys in safe weather games in gambling if possible.
It’s a daily weekday MLB article that will hopefully show you new tools on RG as well as choices and analysis based on these tools.
Today’s FanDuel and DraftKings MLB DFS Projection overview
There are ways to get edges in DFS MLB like stacking a formation or targeting guys higher in the order and more likely to see an extra batsman and we always have to find value bats that constantly change every slate that allows us to fit as many guys as we know are more likely to hit HRs and get those cap games that we need to win tournaments. I will focus on “main slate” of the day, but you can still find plenty of reviews for “early slate” games on RG and feel free to leave suggestions in the comment sections for any strategies/tools you’d like to see here!
This article is intended to highlight some of the most useful RG tools for MLBincluding our industry leading MLB DFS projection and MLB range optimizer, with some choices and analysis along the way. Let’s go!
MLB DFS Weather check
Before we take a look at the projected rosters and picks for the day, it’s important to have an idea of how the weather is impacting the slate so we know whether we want to target certain plays or avoid those. which are too risky. Two tools to use are MLB weather report and MLB WeatherEdge which are both managed by RG’s weather expert Kevin Roth who you should follow on twitter for the latest weather news.
ARI/CIN is most likely to get PLR with rain and thunderstorms from the first pitch to midnight, so I’m going to rate this game as dodgy in my picks. TEXAS/CLE will be close if heavy rains continue north of KEY but if the initial storm line doesn’t hold north, we could see a mid-game delay, early postponement, or maybe no game at all, so this one looks pretty dicey, especially for pitchers. TOR/KCR should work fine with a low probability of a pop-up storm causing lag.
Whether TEXAS/CLE is playing, he is looking at 12 to 15 mph winds towards the center and BOS/LAA has a lesser wind of about 6 mph towards the center. TOR/KCR and NYM/SDP have light breezes from left to right and SEA/HOU is in a dome.
always watch MLB WeatherEdge to see how a wide range of statistics from games in similar weather conditions (since 2000) are more or less likely to occur based on the current weather in that specific stadium. Today we see home runs for TEXAS/CLE are +23.4% while the total runs for TEXAS/CLE are +31.1%.
MLB Projected Alignments – Analysis and Top Stacks
Let’s take a look at MLB Starting lineups to see what the likely batting orders are today (main slate for this article) as well as the teams I’m looking to stack. Projected rosters will generally be pretty consistent day-to-day, with major changes occurring based on whether the opposing pitcher is right-handed or left-handed, as well as some guys more likely to have the day off if they play a day match after a night match.
could sit out another day after the birth of his daughter and would likely continue to take the lead when he is expected to be back after a day off yesterday. With on the IL it looks like it’s the regular first hitter now and should get most of the RF starts for now and after yesterday’s homer we should see continuing to start for TEXAS for a minimum price on both sites.
The Blue Jays are my best stack today with a team total of around 5.3 against southpaw Lynch who has allowed 12 ER in his last 3 appearances. The Angels are my next favorite home stack against Wacha who doesn’t hit a lot of guys with just 10Ks overall in his last four starts and after TOR and AAL I like BOS, TEXASand KEY stacks about equally while HOO and NYM both face tough southpaws but can still put up a twisted number and should be less possessed today.
Be sure to follow the GR MLB Twitter feeds for today’s confirmed queues as well as our DFS Alerts page for important news and analysis.
MLB DraftKings and FanDuel Range Optimizer Picks
With a good idea of projected lineups, weather and strong stacks to consider, let’s take a look at LineupHQ, where you can create lineups in seconds with our optimization tool as well as the “build” tool where you can create up to 300 queues at once based on your custom settings.
If we click on the “P/$” column header in the LineupHQ grid, all available players will be ranked from high to low based on their expected fantasy points per salary dollar on the specific point. DFS site you have selected – this is one of the best starting points for finding value on any slate.
On FanDuel we have some top hitters for $2,200 that will help you stack up the expensive Blue Jays hitters and speaking of which I’ll probably go with Alejandro Kirk ($2,800) on one of the top four. TOR bats because it’s just too cheap for the heat it got on the plate. is 0 for his last 26, which should keep his ownership down, but I think tonight he’s coming out of the slump, so I’ll be on him for just $4,000 while ($4,000), (3 $400) and the previously mentioned ($2,200) make a very strong mat. Some other cheap FD bats I’m considering are ($3000), ($3000), ($2300), and ($2700).
Watch DraftKings ($2600) and ($2500) remain great value games and if you need another super cheap guy I’d consider for $2000 with 2B/3B eligibility. Teoscar Hernandez ($4,200), Alejandro Kirk ($4,500), ($4,900) and ($5,000) are my favorite Blue Jays for the price and it will be hard to fade to 1B for just $3,600 . Other DK bats that seem solid for the price include ($2,900), ($2,900), ($2,700), and ($2,900).
and are my best launchers today and for the price reduction I am currently leaning like my SP1 on both sites but if we learn that TEXAS/CLE will play smoothly so for $6.6k on DK will be my favorite game for the price. is the wild card today because he can still go for 10+ strikeouts, but he has a really tough game in Houston, so he’s just one MPE play for me.
Keep checking LineupHQ as we start getting rosters confirmed and throwing changes based on batting order or guys taking the day off and we learn of their replacements. The best p/$ games are usually fairly consistent throughout the day to MLB but can always change if someone hits higher in order than originally expected or if a cheap value play gets a tee off for an injured/rested player.
MLB DFS – Pre-locking RotoGrinders Premium tools
If you have tough last-minute decisions or need quick picks, be sure to check out our consensus value rankings, expert survey, and LineupHQ tags. DFS experts.
For breaking news and analysis leading up to lockdown, be sure to watch MLB Crunch Time and follow the Plate IQ Live blog later today.
Good luck today!
Image credit: Imagne